Free-IQTest.net

IQ Test
Free-IQTest.net - IQ Test

Friday, July 17, 2009

Benefits of Defence Spending

Hi friends

It’s been quite sometime since I have done any sensible blogging. One of my friends asked me the other day, telling me that “your job has made you lose interest in the thing you loved to do so much”. Hence I have decided to come back and try to post one article every week. I have decided to write about the things that I read - something that may come in handy to those who are preparing for debates or arguments. I will also provide links to the articles as and when I get any.

This short post of mine is in reference to an article written in the column “Cross Hairs” written by Mr. Raghuraman. This article appeared in the July 16th edition of the newspaper “Mint”. This article is helpful for CAT aspirants and the like, because it presents a very interesting and logical argument as to why we should spend more on defence (contrary to common sense) and on how it is advantageous to us.

One main point that the author puts forth is that wars are inevitable in the modern human community. Resources are scarce and everyone wants to control them. The demand for these resources will increase with the scarcity levels and so will the need to control them – thereby leading to more wars. Hence defence spending is a must to gather new resources or defend the existing resources.

The author puts forth 4 major points as to how wars have helped shape civilization for the better:

1. A war helps mobilize inventions. Although wars and the fear of it may not actually lead to an invention, it helps make the invention available to us in a mass scale. Communications, sonar and radar are just few of the examples that show how spending on defence leads to better innovations that can redefine the current technology. Just look at the prevalence of the Internet, nuclear power and transcontinental communications in our daily lives.

2. The Defence Sector creates opportunities for thousands of young minds, who are trained to become a disciplined set of leaders. On their discharge from service, they contribute back to the society by their leadership in driving the society through different entrepreneurial ventures. Capt. Gopinath is one such example, whose low-cost airlines revolutionized the Indian Aviation Sector. Such men bring with them a national outlook and vision for the betterment of the society.

3. Weapons industry may incur a lot of expenditure, but it also contributes a lot back to the GDP of the country. The Indian Defence Sector recovers as much as 50% of the weapons’ cost by placing contracts that an “offset policy” which makes it compulsory that the arms-seller has to buy or provision up to 50% of the cost of the weapons from Indian manufacturers. This policy usually comes in place in a G-to-G trade as it helps to develop trade between the two countries. This gives incentives for the foreign companies to collaborate with Indian partners to make indigenous equipment to fulfill this offset obligation, thereby facilitating technology transfer into Indian industries – thereby having the following 3 advantages:

a) Sellers will need to transfer technology to make indigenous equipment.
b) In the longer duration, it will lead the seller and his Indian partner down the road into “offshoring” – where the weapons could be built at a lower cost enabling it to become globally competitive and establish India as a global defence production and service hub.
c) Defence spending is largely recession-proof and will help the manufacturing sector stay in business even in bad times.

4. Our defence budget also consists of regular revenue expenditure in the form of salaries, allowances and sustenance costs of maintaining an army. Food has to be bought, roads have to be built, vehicles need to ply and the agricultural produce of several thousand villages goes to maintaining garrisons stationed all over the country. An entire ecosystem thrives on maintaining and mobilizing the defence forces. Cantonment towns are examples of cities which have been fuelled by defence establishments that literally created them. (Taken directly from the article).
We can see that the defence sector has a big role to play in strengthening our country’s economy by virtue of its trade potential and manpower.

Link to the article:

Thursday, July 09, 2009

Is the Price Right?

Consider this conversation:
Anurag: Suppose there is something that belongs to you. You love it dearly. But one day, that thing disappoints you a lot. It fails your expectations. You see no other alternative and you destroy that thing. Is it morally or legally right?
Satish: Well, if you own that thing, then it is upto you to decide what to do with it. You own it; you have every right over it.
Anurag: Then why is suicide a crime? Do I, or do I not, own my life?
Satish: Well, one’s life is a different thing altogether. You cannot compare your life to any other thing...
Anurag: But do I own my life or not?
Satish: Hmmm...

What would you say to this? Is your life your own? If yes, then why is an attempt to commit suicide a crime? If no, then who has the right over one’s life?

Suicide is considered a crime in this modern age. In this era, where the word freedom is as misused as public funds, a person doesn’t have the freedom over one’s own life. Where is the freedom if one doesn’t have freedom over one’s own life – the only thing we were born with when we came to earth?

People give many reasons as to why suicide is a crime. Some if the common ones are as follows:
1. It is doing injustice to your self. Just because you are in bad times doesn’t mean that you must end your life. Good times and bad times come in cycles and you have to just wait it out
2. Suicide is the last resort. Life is precious. Human life is a gift from God and it will end only when God wills it to end
3. Think about your parents and your dependants. How will they feel when you are not there anymore?
4. It’s an act of cowardice on the part of the individual. It must be condemned. What if all human beings feel the same way? Then the human race wouldn’t exist at all! People must be made to realize that it is not acceptable in the society.
5. Every life has a purpose. Just because you just haven’t realized it yet, it doesn’t mean you can end your life. You need to keep up hope.
6. Your life belongs to everyone who has ever interacted with you at every stage of your life. People who have seen you and know you. Just think about all of them. How would they feel when you die? Don’t you have nay respect for their feelings too?

And many more...

Of all such explanations that are put forward by various individuals, the one that appealed to me was the last point. You life is not just yours. It belongs to others too. But yes, you are the largest stakeholder and you are in the driver’s seat. But if you control 51% of your life, then the people around you have a stake in the remaining 49% of your life, don’t they?

So the next time you think about giving up your life, remember that your life is not just yours – it belongs to the whole world. Just don’t be the fluttering butterfly that causes a hurricane somewhere else in the world.

Friday, June 05, 2009

Youth Brigade, but “Old is Gold”

We have heard a lot in the news about the youth brigade formed by Mr. Rahul Gandhi and how the present cabinet is a lot younger than the previous cabinet. We can certainly see a lot of young faces like Ms. Agatha Sangma, Jyotiraditya Scindia, Sachin Pilot, Naveen Jindal etc. Does this brigade represent infusion of new life into Indian politics? Or is it just a “more of the same”?

The first thing that hits us when we hear/see these names are their surnames – Gandhi, Sangma etc. All of them come from a known family i.e. they have a family legacy behind them. This new-found position is a mere extension of the bloodline, something like a new face over the old body. Living under the shadow of great parents/family is not easy and their family must have had an impact on their way of thinking and working, including their political thought.

I know you may say, “C’mon, you are being too harsh and cynical now, they are new and fresh faces. They have a lot of new ideas and they can effect change from such powerful positions.” I will not argue with you on this as they will certainly bring about a “change”. The question is “Is the change the needed change or the same “change” that we have witnessed for a long time now?”

Change – this word has gained immense prominence after Obama’s ascendency to the most powerful post in the world. The change which took place in the USA was in many forms – shift in ideology (Republican to Democratic), from partisan politics to “unification” politics, from older leaders to younger leaders, from family names to newcomers (First time in 28 years where neither the President nor the Vice-President has the name Bush or Clinton). It was a wholesome change and not just a “old-to-young” change. This real shift came when Obama defeated Hillary Clinton in the primaries, the public rejecting “family name” for a new comer who promised real change. Hillary was a woman, but she carried the tag of a “former first lady” that did not appear to resonate that well with the voters (although I still dispute the result of the primaries). People had already seen Bill and Co. in action, and wanted to see someone different at the helm. Obama was their man.

As much as I criticized Obama the President, I have always acknowledged the fact that his rise has been remarkable - from such poor roots, unconventional childhood, he rose through sheer hardwork. He did not have his mom/dad to support him and teach him to dream big. He achieved what no one thought was possible for atleast another 100 years - a black President, well atleast half black :)

This is where “Pilot” or “Scindia” lag behind as such – they had a headstart. And in a country like India, it is tough for people without that “start” to make it as big as they did. The youth are mere reflections of the legacies of their parents. They have not experienced what we have experienced and what our parents went through. How many of them had to fight for entry into a good school, or fight for a good college education, or even for a job/living? Were they as confused as we were on what to do in life? How many of them have struggled to finance that book club they always wanted to start in school? I am sure that the answer is “NO” to almost all of these questions from their side. They had it all and will continue to have it all too.

I surely love to see young faces, but not those who carry their parents’ legacies. True, they may be more efficient than their illustrious parents or any other older politician in the cabinet. But will they understand the real India? Only time will tell…

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Election Analysis (Q&A format)

Well, I am sure you already know a lot about the 15th Lok Sabha (LS) Election results, so I won’t elaborate much on it. However, there are some things I would like to comment on w.r.t this election, answering them in the form of questions that could be raised as debate points.


Going by the rise in the total number of seats for the two major Parties, can we say that the people are more in favour of national parties than regional parties?


No. The number of seats is never an indication of the mood of the people. A better indicator is the vote-share garnered by the different parties. In that aspect, nothing has changed significantly from 2004, as the vote share garnered by these two parties has increased by a mere 0.2% (from 48.7% to 48.9%), which is very insignificant compared to the rise in the number of seats garnered by the combo (from 283 to 321, a rise of 13.4%).


Also, the wins of Nitish Kumar (Bihar), Naveen Patnaik (Orissa), Karunanidhi (Tamil Nadu) and the showing of NCP and Shiv Sena (in Maharashtra) can clearly out to rest the fact that regional parties are on their way out – their showing actually points to the opposite fact that they are actually here to stay. Also the regional effect was seen clearly in the forms of YSR (AP), Hooda (HR), Gehlot (Raj), Ms. Dixit (DEL) and Modi (Gujarat).


Is this house a lot cleaner as compared to the previous house? And has the recession affected the fortunes of the MPs?


Well, unfortunately no. There are 150 MPs in the new house with criminal charges, as compared to 128 in 2004, a rise of 17.1%, with 73 of them facing serious charges as compared to 55 in the previous LS, a rise of 30.9%.


The party with the maximum number of criminal MPs is, as I expected it to be, the BJP, with 42 of them facing criminal charges (36% of elected BJP MPs!), closely followed by the Congress (I) with 41 (19.9% of Congress MPs). SP has the 3rd best in this list, with 8 MPs (34.8% MPs, less than BJP atleast!).


As far as recession is concerned, politicans are making hay when there is a solar eclipse in the universe. There are 300 crorepati MPs in the current LS – more than double the previous count of 154! Looks like this industry can donate a lot for the stimulus package for other industries


Is the “Rahul Effect” a reality? Did the “Modi Effect” change anything for the BJP in the positive sense?


Yes, the “Rahul Effect” was indeed significant, atleast in the numbers. My numbers are not accurate to the tee, but the UPA won in 66 seats out of the 106 seats that he campaigned for, with 21 of them coming from Uttar Pradesh, making it a high 62% conversion rate overall.


On the other hand, the “Modi Effect” backfired completely. Out of the 108 seats that he campaigned for the NDA, they could win only 35 seats, 17 of then coming from Gujarat. So it was effectively only 18 seats out of the 83 non-Gujarat seats for the NDA, a dismal 22% conversion rate outside Gujarat. Why did this happen? As one person out it, “When you go to a circus, the Joker gets the maximum claps and attention, but no one takes him seriously. Modi, with his joker-like antics, could just get people to attend his rallies, but failed to grab their votes.”


What are the (positive) implications for the UPA and the Congress (I) in particular, after this mandate?


The current mandate seems decisive, but it was also because of the lack of an opposition with a clear mindset. The result will clearly help the Congress (I) cut down its “estranged allies” to size. Lalu and Paswan were dumbstruck at the result and even Sharad Pawar, although was loyal to the UPA in Maharashtra, had PM ambitions, which will not be fulfilled for another 5 years atleast.


Considering that Rahul Gandhi is not going to join the cabinet anytime soon, the UPA should use his services fully to make sure that its network in UP and Bihar becomes stronger. For the first time in many years, the Congress (I) received more than 10% vote-share in Bihar and its rise in UP was really unprecedented, with both the vote-share and seat-share rising well above expected. The sullen and “humble” mood in the SP, BSP and RJD camps, and their sucking upto the UPA-alliance, is clearly a sign of desperation and the party must make full use of its nation-wide influence to capitalize on this “wave”.


This mandate destroyed the effect of the Left parties completely and removed their chances of playing the role of a kingmaker. The UPA will certainly strive along with Mamata Banerjee in order to wipe out the left in West Bengal. Mamata has also clearly stated that she is eyeing the state leadership and not a cabinet berth. Even in Kerala, the Congress (I) must strive to make sure that the people’s verdict is properly rewarded. This is their best chance to increase their vote base all over India, even in Maharashtra, where there are talks about the Congress (I) ditching the NCP and going alone there.


But this win may also lead to the “God Syndrome” in the Congress (I). Unchecked by the Left and other parties with alternative views, the UPA may resort to economic reforms that may actually backfire. Also, too much “Sonia” and “Rahul” chants may lead to resentment among the public, who are, in my view, tired of dynastic politics. The Congress (I) needs to be more pro-poor and more future-oriented for another good showing in 2014.


What are the implications for the NDA and the BJP in particular after this mandate?


The “drubbing” that the BJP received was a severe setback to the leadership of the party, namely L K Advani and Rajnath Singh. Even their own exit polls failed to see this drop in the number of seats and the vote-share for the party. Mr. Advani was forced to contest one last election and he was shown the realistic chances of becoming a PM. He complied, never expecting such a result. Even his resignation was not accepted by the party.


This clearly shows that the BJP is not having any fixed No. 2 in its party. It is a time for change of leadership, to build a new wave for 2014. Instead Mr. Advani is being made the leader of the opposition yet again. This move will severely affect the chances of BJP recovering anytime in the next 2-3 years.


They need a clear image change after all this. They need to behave like a responsible opposition and try to focus on the core issues, and remind the public that they behaved like a constructive opposition. At the same time, they must try to build a much-more solid base in states where they were affected a lot – Rajasthan, UP, Maharashtra and Uttarakhand.


They also need to forge better allies in order to make their presence stronger all over India, especially the South. BJD left the alliance and won by a handsome margin in Orissa and it is widely expected that Nitish Kumar may ditch the BJP in the upcoming Assembly Elections in Bihar in order to appease to the Muslim vote-bank even more. There are also talks about the UPA trying to woo Nitish to its side, but that may not materialize.


The BJP tried to appease the urban youth a lot and all the talks of change clearly showed the aping of the “Obama” model of campaigning. However, India and coalition politics are a very different ball-game and the entire party’s image can be damaged by just 1-2 individuals like Varun Gandhi. It is high time for the BJP to change their leadership and look for a new direction.


Specific to Andhra Pradesh, how can one explain the huge difference in the results of the LS and Assembly election results? Also, what looks to be the future of the TRS there?


The difference can be explained to a good extent by the maturity of the voters in this election. They clearly differentiated between the local and national issues and voted accordingly. All the MLAs who performed badly were the ones who were shown the boot because of the neglect of their constituencies. But the performance of the UPA Govt. had a serious effect on the fortunes of the MPs in the state in a positive sense.


Also, we can see the effect of the MLAs as a bunch in the elections. Inspite of being advised to change the MLAs in her constituency, Renuka Chowdhary stuck to the old guns and paid the price for it, by losing even her LS seat.


TRS is gone and out. The Telangana issue is irrelevant and the popularity-waning of the TRS is clear by the fact that KCR himself won in his constituency by a very narrow margin, similar to his son (who won by a margin of around 400 votes). People recognized that KCR was opportunistic when he allied with TDP (who had been a staunch opponent of a separate Telangana from the very beginning). And they showed him the “kick”.


Any bets on the Sikkim Democratic Front (SDF) sweeping even the next Assembly elections (they won all 32 seats this time, like the last time in 2004)?


Not likely to lose any seat even in 2014. The opposition (Congress) has no base and the party has no grassroots in Sikkim at all. The SDF will continue to retain power for atleast another 20 years surely. With Chamling at the helm, the SDF will continue to get support of the Sikkim people for more development of the state in all areas.


Ciao for now!

Monday, May 11, 2009

The 5-Phase Election Fever (Part 2)

Hi

The Andhera Pradesh state has thrown up a lot of surprises this election, especially with Badi Maa banking on “I-am-Sam” Ever Reddy to deliver the goods. But Reddy is also clever enough to realize that he will not be able to stand on his own two feet this time on. Already the “Grand-Alliance”, consisting of Mr. “Maine-NTR-ko-nahin-maara” Cycle Babuji, Mr. “Telangana-ke-liye-kuch-bhi-karega” Chandu Gaadu and some “educated naxalites” has claimed victory. But in all probability, the GA will also fall short of a majority. This is because of the new entrant Mr. “Chiru-is-King” Megastar, who is said to be the real kingmaker in this election, both at the state and also at the national level. Currently, both the alliances are in tough with the Megastar for a possible post-poll alliance. But at the national level, Chandu Gaadu is clearly tired of being sidelined and has already shown his support to the NDA in a rally held on Sunday. He has firmly professed his support for Buddhe ki-vaani who was promised the creation of a new state within 100 days (on the lines of Obama who promised a trrop withdrawl within 100 days and already the 100 days are up with no such action)

Kashmir seems to have hogged all the attention in Phase 3 of the elections, when the turnout suddenly reached 24% as compared to 15% in the last election. Although the Hurriyat 2nd-in-command Mr. A-Lone has called that nothing is to be seen in this “rise” of mere 9% as compared to more than 76% still not voting, the news-channels, particularly the Out of Times and particularly Swami tried to make a big issue over a small k-issue.

West Bengal was also in the news, with the people from Croak-land demanding a separate state for themselves, because the Croaks have no similarities with the highly intellectual Bongs. They even roped in Mr. “I-wanna-win” Santa Singha to contest on behalf of the BJP, with the promise of a separate state doled out. The place witnessed a turnout of 80%, which was slightly more than the state average of 75% this time. Let’s see whether the Croaks have croaked in the right spirit this time on!

The truly swing state in this election happens to be north-western state, aptly called Land of Kings. After seeing their voting record in the last 20 years, they must be named “The Land of Swings”! This is the only state where the GOP and the pseudo-GYP (henceforth called PSYP) are at direct loggerheads. Here, the GOP is headed by current CM “Main-hoon-number-one” Crappy Baal and the PSYP by the “Hitler-in-Saree” Sundry Rahe. Although Rahe had done substantial amount of developmental work in her state as a CM, her autocratic attitude and her partiality towards the Meena community brought about the downfall of her government. Though Crappy Baal is confident that his hairstyle will surely take the GOP to a good victory there, the PGYP hopes to make pretty big dents, using the big  eyes of Sundry Rahe, as emphasized by the Mohra-song “Akhiyon se Goli Maare”.


For the glossary of terms used, please refer to this LINK. For Part-1 of this series, please look at this LINK.